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Makeup Won’t Fix a Meltdown: GEO-7 Calls Out Systematic Sustainability Failures

Published December 9, 2025
Published December 9, 2025
Troy Ayala

Key Takeaways:

  • GEO-7 warns beauty: Environmental crises threaten supply chains and industry stability.
  • Transforming energy, materials, and finance systems is essential for beauty’s future.
  • Business-as-usual collapses planetary health; sustainable models become industry necessities now. 

As the global beauty and consumer industries grapple with rising sustainability expectations, a major United Nations report delivered its starkest warning yet. During a press briefing in December, the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) unveiled findings from the seventh Global Environment Outlook (GEO-7), a flagship scientific assessment produced by 280 experts across 82 countries and backed by more than 7,000 references. The conclusion: Urgent, systematic transformation is not optional, it's required.

The report outlined the planet's current trajectory towards intensifying climate breakdown, accelerating biodiversity loss, expanding pollution, and worsening land degradation. While previous GEO assessments have been sobering, GEO-7 arrives with greater scientific certainty and a narrowing window to act.

A Planetary Warning

GEO-7 Co-Chair Professor Edgar Gutiérrez-Espeleta, former Costa Rican Environment Minister, opened the briefing with a message that resonated with governments and the business community alike.

“Urgent action is no longer optional. It is required.”

Gutiérrez-Espeleta outlined five critical truths emerging from the GEO-7 assessment:

  • Environmental crises are security crises threatening national stability, public health, and economic systems. 
  • Governance and economic systems are failing, rewarding short-term gain over long-term resilience. 
  • Financial reform is foundational, including repurposing $1.5 trillion in harmful subsidies and internalizing $45 trillion in environmental externalities. 
  • Integrated, whole-of-government and whole-of-society action is essential. 
  • Justice and equity must drive transformation, with differentiated responsibilities across income levels and nations.

Perhaps the report's boldest claim: Governments must move beyond GDP towards indicators that incorporate nature, human well-being, and planetary resilience.

“We have to think not only about economic growth,” Gutiérrez-Espeleta said. “GDP alone cannot measure how well we are treating our planet.”

“Nothing Is Going in the Right Direction”

Co-Chair Sir Robert Watson, former Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Chair and a leading voice in global environmental science, added that the world’s four major environmental crises—climate change, biodiversity loss, pollution, and land degradation—are all intensifying concurrently. 

His most striking warning: Even the IPCC may be underestimating the pace and magnitude of climate change.

The world has warmed 1.3°C (34.34°F), and GEO-7 modeling shows the earth could reach between 2.4°C (36.32°F) and 3.9°C (39°F) by 2100, Watson explained. “We’re not saying the IPCC models are wrong—but they may be underestimating how fast things are changing.”

Watson emphasized that 1 million species are currently threatened with extinction, fertile land continues to erode at alarming rates, and pollution remains pervasive.

“There is hope,” Watson added, “but business-as-usual does not work.”

Everything Must Transform

When asked about energy solutions, an area with direct implications for beauty manufacturing, packaging, transport, and retail, Watson was unequivocal. “We must eliminate fossil fuels over the coming decades. We need more renewable energy, more efficiency, more innovation across every sector.”

Small-scale and local energy systems, he noted, will play a critical role alongside large-scale renewable infrastructure.

Beauty and consumer product companies, many of which rely heavily on global supply chains, petrochemical inputs, and natural resource extraction, were a clear audience in the briefing's message to the industry.

“We can no longer support business models built on short-term gains,” Gutiérrez-Espeleta said. “Profits must align with protecting the planet.”

Watson added that The World Economic Forum has listed climate and nature loss as top business risks for five straight years, reflecting a growing recognition in industry.

“Destroying nature and destabilizing climate systems is bad for business … Some of the most visionary companies are moving faster than governments.”

For beauty brands facing mounting pressure to decarbonize, transition to circular packaging, scale up renewable energy procurement, and verify supply chain integrity, GEO-7 reinforces that these shifts are not options; they are economic and existential mandates.

$20 Trillion a Year in Savings by 2070 

One of the most headline-grabbing numbers from GEO-7 was a potential of $20 trillion in annual global savings by 2070 if the world meets The Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C (34.7°F) target compared with business-as-usual.

This figure represents avoided climate damages, not including massive additional benefits from reduced pollution, improved soil health, and stabilized biodiversity. The cost of action is far lower than the cost of inaction.

A Need for Cohesion

Both co-chairs emphasized the fragmentation of global environmental governance. The climate, biodiversity, and land degradation conventions remain siloed, despite deep interconnections.

Gutiérrez-Espeleta urged a unified agenda. “We can no longer work in isolated policymaker bodies. We need one common agenda and coordinated action.”

The Political Reality: Multilateralism Under Strain

When asked whether transformation is politically plausible in the current geopolitical climate, Watson was candid. “Multilateralism is in trouble. We’re not moving fast enough."

Still, he and Gutiérrez-Espeleta placed hope in a coalition of forward-thinking governments, proactive companies, and a mobilized civil society.

What This Means for the Beauty Industry

GEO-7’s findings have direct implications for beauty:

  • Stricter climate and biodiversity regulations could be coming.
  • Supply chain transparency could move from voluntary to mandatory.
  • Circularity, reuse, and recycled content will become baseline expectations.
  • Deforestation-linked ingredients (palm oil, soy, timber derivatives) face increasing scrutiny.
  • Carbon-intensive packaging and logistics are becoming liabilities.
  • Nature-positive strategies will rise in importance alongside net-zero commitments.

In other words, this report is not merely environmental; it is strategic.

A Final Warning and a Call to Courage

“This is an urgent call to transform human systems,” Gutiérrez-Espeleta said. “The science is clear. The solutions are known. What is required is courage—courage to act at the scale and speed history demands.”

The beauty industry, alongside governments and global markets, will be defined by how it responds to this narrowing window.

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